Premier League · Matchweek 14
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Hull City
HUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bournemouth55%
Draw24%
Hull21%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.07
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–06.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bournemouth will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
53%Possession30%
41%Territory33%
30%From set plays10%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.2%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bournemouth, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.