Premier League · Matchweek 14
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Hull City
HUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bournemouth67%
Draw20%
Hull13%
Expected goals
2.16 – 0.87
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.3%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bournemouth will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
49%Possession35%
39%Territory29%
10%From set plays38%
0.16Chance quality0.08
5.4%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bournemouth, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.