Premier League · Matchweek 13
Newcastle United
NEW
Manchester United
MUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newcastle34%
Draw25%
Man United41%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.63
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–17.8%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Newcastle get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession57%
34%Territory48%
38%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle, 3 for Man United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.