Premier League · Matchweek 13
Liverpool
LIV
Sunderland
SUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Liverpool60%
Draw24%
Sunderland16%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.84
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 2–011.3%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sunderland get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession47%
48%Territory34%
16%From set plays51%
0.08Chance quality0.06
4.4%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Liverpool, 3 for Sunderland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.