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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Premier League · Matchweek 13

Liverpool

LIV

Sunderland

SUN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Liverpool51%
Draw26%
Sunderland23%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.03

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.1%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–09.0%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Liverpool will have the ball; Sunderland will not mind.

60%Possession45%
50%Territory40%
16%From set plays37%
0.10Chance quality0.15
5.4%Directness8.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Liverpool, 3 for Sunderland. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.