Premier League · Matchweek 13
Hull City
HUL
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hull33%
Draw29%
Nottm Forest39%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.34
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nottm Forest will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
30%Possession39%
33%Territory36%
10%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.12
8.4%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Nottm Forest. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.