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Premier League · Matchweek 13

Coventry City

COV

Ipswich Town

IPS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Coventry41%
Draw27%
Ipswich32%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.32

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Ipswich will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.

37%Possession47%
39%Territory35%
29%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.12
8.9%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Coventry, 3 for Ipswich. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.