Premier League · Matchweek 13
Chelsea
CHE
Crystal Palace
CRY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chelsea66%
Draw20%
Crystal Palace14%
Expected goals
2.24 – 0.99
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.4%
- 1–18.8%
- 3–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chelsea will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.
47%Possession39%
35%Territory27%
16%From set plays61%
0.10Chance quality0.11
3.6%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chelsea, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Crystal Palace
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.