Premier League · Matchweek 13
Chelsea
CHE
Crystal Palace
CRY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chelsea55%
Draw22%
Crystal Palace23%
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.32
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–07.2%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Chelsea will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.
47%Possession37%
46%Territory30%
24%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.2%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chelsea, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.