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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Premier League · Matchweek 13

Aston Villa

AVL

Everton

EVE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Aston Villa37%
Draw30%
Everton34%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.18

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Aston Villa will have the ball; Everton will not mind.

56%Possession41%
47%Territory40%
7%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.10
3.5%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aston Villa, 3 for Everton. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.