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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Premier League · Matchweek 12

Sunderland

SUN

Tottenham Hotspur

TOT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sunderland24%
Draw30%
Tottenham46%

Expected goals

0.92 – 1.34

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.4%
  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–011.7%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 0–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tottenham will have the ball; Sunderland will not mind.

47%Possession71%
34%Territory52%
51%From set plays29%
0.06Chance quality0.07
5.1%Directness2.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sunderland, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.