Premier League · Matchweek 12
Sunderland
SUN
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland43%
Draw31%
Tottenham27%
Expected goals
1.25 – 0.94
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–012.5%
- 0–110.4%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham will have the ball; Sunderland will not mind.
45%Possession60%
40%Territory48%
37%From set plays40%
0.15Chance quality0.07
8.1%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sunderland, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Tottenham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.