Premier League · Matchweek 12
Manchester United
MUN
Brentford
BRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man United50%
Draw24%
Brentford26%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.32
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man United will have the ball; Brentford will not mind.
57%Possession48%
48%Territory39%
11%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.08
3.1%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man United, 3 for Brentford. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.