Premier League · Matchweek 12
Leeds United
LEE
Coventry City
COV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leeds62%
Draw21%
Coventry17%
Expected goals
2.06 – 1.02
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.8%
- 1–19.7%
- 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession40%
31%Territory37%
30%From set plays34%
0.17Chance quality0.11
5.9%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leeds, 3 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Coventry
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.