Premier League · Matchweek 12
Leeds United
LEE
Coventry City
COV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leeds53%
Draw27%
Coventry20%
Expected goals
1.52 – 0.86
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.5%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–010.3%
- 0–010.2%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leeds will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.
56%Possession37%
34%Territory39%
42%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness8.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leeds, 4 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.