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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Premier League · Matchweek 12

Ipswich Town

IPS

Aston Villa

AVL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ipswich37%
Draw27%
Aston Villa35%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.39

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Aston Villa will have the ball; Ipswich will not mind.

46%Possession56%
38%Territory47%
8%From set plays7%
0.14Chance quality0.10
4.1%Directness3.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ipswich, 3 for Aston Villa. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.