Premier League · Matchweek 12
Everton
EVE
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Everton36%
Draw28%
Liverpool36%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.30
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–08.7%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Liverpool will have the ball; Everton will not mind.
41%Possession60%
40%Territory50%
27%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.10
3.8%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Everton, 3 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.