Premier League · Matchweek 12
Everton
EVE
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Everton26%
Draw29%
Liverpool45%
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.40
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.0%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–010.2%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession51%
43%Territory48%
35%From set plays16%
0.07Chance quality0.08
5.9%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Everton, 3 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.