Premier League · Matchweek 11
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Ipswich Town
IPS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tottenham59%
Draw23%
Ipswich17%
Expected goals
1.86 – 0.93
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham will have the ball; Ipswich will not mind.
71%Possession47%
52%Territory35%
29%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.12
2.6%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Ipswich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.