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Premier League · Matchweek 11

Tottenham Hotspur

TOT

Ipswich Town

IPS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tottenham44%
Draw28%
Ipswich28%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.13

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.6%
  • 1011.5%
  • 218.9%
  • 008.8%
  • 018.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tottenham will have the ball; Ipswich will not mind.

60%Possession46%
48%Territory38%
40%From set plays8%
0.07Chance quality0.14
3.9%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Ipswich. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Tottenham

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.