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Premier League · Matchweek 11

Coventry City

COV

Crystal Palace

CRY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Coventry34%
Draw26%
Crystal Palace40%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.55

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.5%
  • 128.7%
  • 018.4%
  • 217.8%
  • 107.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Coventry get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

40%Possession37%
37%Territory30%
34%From set plays11%
0.11Chance quality0.11
7.2%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Coventry, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.