Premier League · Matchweek 11
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bournemouth46%
Draw26%
Nottm Forest28%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.26
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.1%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bournemouth will have the ball; Nottm Forest will not mind.
53%Possession39%
41%Territory36%
30%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.2%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bournemouth, 3 for Nottm Forest. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.