Premier League · Matchweek 10
Sunderland
SUN
Chelsea
CHE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sunderland22%
Draw25%
Chelsea53%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.73
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.0%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sunderland get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession47%
34%Territory35%
51%From set plays16%
0.06Chance quality0.10
5.1%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sunderland, 3 for Chelsea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.