Premier League · Matchweek 10
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Manchester City
MCI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nottm Forest27%
Draw27%
Man City47%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.57
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–27.7%
- 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man City will have the ball; Nottm Forest will not mind.
45%Possession65%
34%Territory49%
30%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.12
7.8%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nottm Forest, 3 for Man City. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.