Premier League · Matchweek 10
Leeds United
LEE
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leeds50%
Draw27%
Tottenham23%
Expected goals
1.55 – 0.98
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.9%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–09.2%
- 0–09.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham will have the ball; Leeds will not mind.
43%Possession60%
31%Territory48%
30%From set plays40%
0.17Chance quality0.07
5.9%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leeds, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tottenham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.