Premier League · Matchweek 10
Leeds United
LEE
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leeds34%
Draw32%
Tottenham34%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.06
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.6%
- 0–013.5%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–112.6%
- 2–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham will have the ball; Leeds will not mind.
56%Possession71%
34%Territory52%
42%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.07
6.2%Directness2.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leeds, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.