Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Premier League · Matchweek 10

Ipswich Town

IPS

AFC Bournemouth

AFC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ipswich19%
Draw21%
Bournemouth60%

Expected goals

1.21 – 2.18

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.7%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 0–28.0%
  • 0–17.9%
  • 1–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession49%
35%Territory39%
21%From set plays10%
0.12Chance quality0.16
4.8%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ipswich, 3 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.