Club Football Intelligence

Premier League · Matchweek 10

Sat, 7 Nov, 15:00 UTC

Ipswich Town

IPS

15:00 UTC

AFC Bournemouth

AFC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Ipswich30%

Draw24%

Bournemouth46%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.79

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

1–110.5%
1–29.1%
0–17.7%
2–17.1%
2–26.7%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bournemouth get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession53%

38%Territory41%

8%From set plays30%

0.14Chance quality0.10

4.1%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Ipswich, 3 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Ipswich

EmersonnFW1G 1A 1.03/90
Leif DavisDF2G 1A 1.00/90
Abdul FatawuFW0G 1A 0.40/90

Bournemouth

EvanilsonFW0G 2A 1.06/90
Justin KluivertMF1G 0A 0.61/90
Marcus TavernierFW1G 0A 0.52/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.