Premier League · Matchweek 10
Everton
EVE
Coventry City
COV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Everton43%
Draw30%
Coventry28%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.02
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–011.0%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession37%
43%Territory39%
35%From set plays29%
0.07Chance quality0.08
5.9%Directness8.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Everton, 4 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.