Premier League · Matchweek 10
Everton
EVE
Coventry City
COV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Everton57%
Draw24%
Coventry19%
Expected goals
1.76 – 0.95
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession40%
40%Territory37%
27%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.11
3.8%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Everton, 3 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Coventry
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.