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Premier League · Matchweek 10

Crystal Palace

CRY

Liverpool

LIV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Crystal Palace25%
Draw26%
Liverpool49%

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.63

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–28.1%
  • 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Liverpool will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.

39%Possession51%
27%Territory48%
61%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crystal Palace, 3 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Crystal Palace

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.