Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Premier League · Matchweek 10

Crystal Palace

CRY

Liverpool

LIV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Crystal Palace31%
Draw26%
Liverpool43%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.62

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Liverpool will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.

37%Possession60%
30%Territory50%
11%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.4%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Crystal Palace, 3 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.