Premier League · Matchweek 10
Arsenal
ARS
Hull City
HUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arsenal70%
Draw20%
Hull10%
Expected goals
1.99 – 0.62
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
41%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.1%
- 2–014.5%
- 3–09.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arsenal will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
57%Possession30%
49%Territory33%
22%From set plays10%
0.15Chance quality0.09
3.7%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arsenal, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arsenal
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.