Premier League · Matchweek 10
Arsenal
ARS
Hull City
HUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arsenal69%
Draw21%
Hull10%
Expected goals
1.88 – 0.59
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
38%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–016.4%
- 2–014.9%
- 1–19.2%
- 0–09.1%
- 3–09.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arsenal will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
59%Possession35%
48%Territory29%
36%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.08
3.8%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arsenal, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.