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Premier League · Matchweek 9

Tottenham Hotspur

TOT

Crystal Palace

CRY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tottenham40%
Draw29%
Crystal Palace31%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.17

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.8%
  • 1011.2%
  • 019.5%
  • 009.3%
  • 218.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tottenham will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.

60%Possession37%
48%Territory30%
40%From set plays11%
0.07Chance quality0.11
3.9%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.