Premier League · Matchweek 9
Newcastle United
NEW
Everton
EVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newcastle52%
Draw26%
Everton22%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.02
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession45%
46%Territory43%
16%From set plays35%
0.09Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle, 2 for Everton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Everton
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.