Premier League · Matchweek 9
Newcastle United
NEW
Everton
EVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newcastle41%
Draw28%
Everton31%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.22
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.6%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Newcastle will have the ball; Everton will not mind.
50%Possession41%
34%Territory40%
38%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle, 3 for Everton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.