Club Football Intelligence

Premier League · Matchweek 9

Sat, 31 Oct, 15:00 UTC

Hull City

HUL

15:00 UTC

Ipswich Town

IPS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hull44%

Draw26%

Ipswich30%

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.28

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

1–111.8%
1–09.6%
2–19.1%
0–17.6%
1–27.2%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

Ipswich will have the ball; Hull will not mind.

30%Possession46%

33%Territory38%

10%From set plays8%

0.09Chance quality0.14

8.4%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Ipswich. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Hull

Mohamed BelloumiFW2G 1A 1.20/90
Oli McBurnieFW0G 1A 0.34/90
Ryan GilesDF0G 1A 0.33/90

Ipswich

EmersonnFW1G 1A 1.03/90
Leif DavisDF2G 1A 1.00/90
Abdul FatawuFW0G 1A 0.40/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.