Premier League · Matchweek 9
Coventry City
COV
Sunderland
SUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Coventry30%
Draw28%
Sunderland41%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.40
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–09.1%
- 0–08.8%
- 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
40%Possession45%
37%Territory40%
34%From set plays37%
0.11Chance quality0.15
7.2%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Coventry, 3 for Sunderland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Coventry
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Sunderland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.