Premier League · Matchweek 9
Chelsea
CHE
Manchester United
MUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chelsea39%
Draw24%
Man United37%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.68
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–27.9%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–06.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man United will have the ball; Chelsea will not mind.
47%Possession57%
46%Territory48%
24%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.2%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chelsea, 3 for Man United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.