Premier League · Matchweek 9
Brentford
BRE
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brentford44%
Draw27%
Nottm Forest29%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.25
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brentford will have the ball; Nottm Forest will not mind.
48%Possession39%
39%Territory36%
33%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.12
4.9%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brentford, 3 for Nottm Forest. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.