Premier League · Matchweek 9
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Leeds United
LEE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bournemouth45%
Draw25%
Leeds30%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.39
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bournemouth will have the ball; Leeds will not mind.
53%Possession43%
41%Territory31%
30%From set plays30%
0.10Chance quality0.17
5.2%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bournemouth, 3 for Leeds. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.