Premier League · Matchweek 8
Manchester United
MUN
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man United49%
Draw24%
Bournemouth27%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.41
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–07.5%
- 1–26.7%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bournemouth get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
57%Possession53%
48%Territory41%
11%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.10
3.1%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man United, 3 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.