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Premier League · Matchweek 8

Hull City

HUL

Brentford

BRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hull32%
Draw28%
Brentford41%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.44

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.4%
  • 0110.1%
  • 128.7%
  • 108.7%
  • 007.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brentford will have the ball; Hull will not mind.

30%Possession48%
33%Territory39%
10%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.08
8.4%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hull, 3 for Brentford. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.