Premier League · Matchweek 8
Chelsea
CHE
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Chelsea53%
Draw25%
Tottenham22%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.03
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham will have the ball; Chelsea will not mind.
47%Possession60%
46%Territory48%
24%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.07
5.2%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Chelsea, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tottenham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.