Premier League · Matchweek 8
Arsenal
ARS
Everton
EVE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arsenal63%
Draw24%
Everton13%
Expected goals
1.75 – 0.70
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.7%
- 2–013.1%
- 1–110.4%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arsenal will have the ball; Everton will not mind.
57%Possession41%
49%Territory40%
22%From set plays27%
0.15Chance quality0.10
3.7%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arsenal, 3 for Everton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arsenal
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.