Premier League · Matchweek 7
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Arsenal
ARS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nottm Forest21%
Draw27%
Arsenal52%
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.51
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.3%
- 1–112.1%
- 0–010.2%
- 0–210.1%
- 1–29.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arsenal will have the ball; Nottm Forest will not mind.
39%Possession57%
36%Territory49%
19%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.15
7.8%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nottm Forest, 3 for Arsenal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.