Premier League · Matchweek 7
Manchester City
MCI
Ipswich Town
IPS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man City72%
Draw17%
Ipswich11%
Expected goals
2.49 – 0.92
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.8%
- 3–08.3%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man City will have the ball; Ipswich will not mind.
65%Possession46%
44%Territory38%
24%From set plays8%
0.15Chance quality0.14
3.9%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man City, 3 for Ipswich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.