Premier League · Matchweek 7
Leeds United
LEE
Manchester United
MUN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leeds38%
Draw25%
Man United37%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.59
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.0%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Man United will have the ball; Leeds will not mind.
43%Possession57%
31%Territory48%
30%From set plays11%
0.17Chance quality0.09
5.9%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leeds, 3 for Man United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.