Premier League · Matchweek 7
Everton
EVE
Chelsea
CHE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Everton39%
Draw27%
Chelsea35%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.41
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession47%
40%Territory46%
27%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.09
3.8%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Everton, 3 for Chelsea. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.