Premier League · Matchweek 7
Brentford
BRE
Liverpool
LIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brentford39%
Draw27%
Liverpool34%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.38
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Liverpool will have the ball; Brentford will not mind.
48%Possession60%
39%Territory50%
33%From set plays16%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brentford, 3 for Liverpool. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.