Premier League · Matchweek 6
Manchester United
MUN
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Man United57%
Draw24%
Tottenham19%
Expected goals
1.78 – 0.95
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
57%Possession60%
48%Territory48%
11%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.07
3.1%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Man United, 3 for Tottenham. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tottenham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.