Premier League · Matchweek 6
Coventry City
COV
Newcastle United
NEW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Coventry29%
Draw26%
Newcastle45%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.58
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Newcastle will have the ball; Coventry will not mind.
40%Possession50%
37%Territory34%
34%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.09
7.2%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Coventry, 3 for Newcastle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Coventry
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.