Premier League · Matchweek 5
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
Aston Villa
AVL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tottenham37%
Draw31%
Aston Villa32%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.05
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.5%
- 1–012.8%
- 0–012.5%
- 0–111.5%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tottenham get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
60%Possession56%
48%Territory47%
40%From set plays7%
0.07Chance quality0.10
3.9%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tottenham, 3 for Aston Villa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Tottenham
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Aston Villa
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.