Premier League · Matchweek 5
Nottingham Forest
NFO
Coventry City
COV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nottm Forest59%
Draw23%
Coventry18%
Expected goals
1.87 – 0.98
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.5%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Coventry get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
39%Possession40%
36%Territory37%
19%From set plays34%
0.12Chance quality0.11
7.8%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nottm Forest, 3 for Coventry. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Coventry
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.