Premier League · Matchweek 5
Newcastle United
NEW
Hull City
HUL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Newcastle49%
Draw26%
Hull25%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.09
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Newcastle will have the ball; Hull will not mind.
50%Possession30%
34%Territory33%
38%From set plays10%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness8.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newcastle, 3 for Hull. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.