Premier League · Matchweek 5
Leeds United
LEE
Crystal Palace
CRY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leeds53%
Draw23%
Crystal Palace23%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.25
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–07.7%
- 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leeds get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession37%
31%Territory30%
30%From set plays11%
0.17Chance quality0.11
5.9%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leeds, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.