Premier League · Matchweek 5
Everton
EVE
Ipswich Town
IPS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Everton52%
Draw25%
Ipswich23%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.12
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.5%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Everton get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
41%Possession46%
40%Territory38%
27%From set plays8%
0.10Chance quality0.14
3.8%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Everton, 3 for Ipswich. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.