Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 27
Kilmarnock
KIL
Dundee United
DUD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kilmarnock42%
Draw25%
Dundee United33%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.49
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.6%
- 1–07.5%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession47%
37%Territory36%
26%From set plays29%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kilmarnock, 3 for Dundee United. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.