Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 27
Hibernian
HIB
Aberdeen
ABE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hibernian37%
Draw28%
Aberdeen35%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.31
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hibernian will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.
56%Possession45%
32%Territory36%
44%From set plays33%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hibernian, 3 for Aberdeen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.