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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 27

Hibernian

HIB

Aberdeen

ABE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hibernian37%
Draw28%
Aberdeen35%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.31

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hibernian will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.

56%Possession45%
32%Territory36%
44%From set plays33%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hibernian, 3 for Aberdeen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.