Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 27
Falkirk
FAL
Rangers
RAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Falkirk25%
Draw25%
Rangers50%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.73
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–27.7%
- 1–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rangers will have the ball; Falkirk will not mind.
41%Possession58%
28%Territory41%
16%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.15
7.6%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Falkirk, 3 for Rangers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.