Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 27
Dundee FC
DUN
St. Johnstone
STJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee FC57%
Draw22%
St. Johnstone21%
Expected goals
2.12 – 1.26
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession42%
26%Territory36%
48%From set plays40%
0.14Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee FC, 4 for St. Johnstone. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.