Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 27
Celtic
CEL
Heart of Midlothian
HEA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celtic66%
Draw18%
Hearts15%
Expected goals
2.52 – 1.21
Over 2.5
71%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.8%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.4%
- 1–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Celtic will have the ball; Hearts will not mind.
61%Possession48%
43%Territory36%
20%From set plays49%
0.13Chance quality0.09
3.8%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Celtic, 3 for Hearts. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.